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Links: Handicapping | General Racing Discussion | Off Topic | Photo Forum
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Jay Trotter
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Post subject: Wednesday Race 3 Posted: Wed Sep 30, 2009 2:25 am |
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Joined: Thu May 21, 2009 1:20 pm Posts: 975
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Ruffino is going to be the chalk, and there are many reasons to go against him in this spot.
NY Bred going against open company for the first time - always a good angle to play against
Second time out after a lengthy lay off - He's obviously got some physical issues with the limited number of starts as a 6yo and the two big gaps in starts. His second start back after the June 07-Sept 08 layoff was by far the worst effort of his career
He's going to be 7/5 or lower in this spot.
Budget - Carl Domino doesn't claim many horses, but he got this Clairborne homebred at a discount up at the SPA. Ran OK in his last, gets the rail and cuts back to a 1 turn mile. Faces older horses for the first time.
Woodacre - Been claimed 2 of last 3 starts. Never gone further than 6.5 furlongs in his career. Callejas has decent numbers second race off the claim, Johnny V rides.. maybe
Banking Holiday - His last was OK at the same level. First time blinkers. Ramon riding is a plus but I'm not sold on his chances.
Mr. Universe - Looks overmatched in this spot. Blinkers off
Nemo Landing - Looks overmatched in this spot. Blinkers off
Dream Again - Ran a decent thrid last time out at the same level. Been closing strongly going 7f and adds another 1/8 mile here. These types usually dissapoint as underlays. Not backing.
Bird Run - Broke maiden in a big way back in July and then ran a nice second to the huge favorite last time out in a NW1 allowance. First time against older horses and while cutting back 1f.
Last edited by Jay Trotter on Wed Sep 30, 2009 12:32 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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oldguy
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Post subject: Re: Wednesday Race 5 Posted: Wed Sep 30, 2009 10:30 am |
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Joined: Tue May 19, 2009 12:42 pm Posts: 1928 Location: Mechanicville, NY
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Jay Trotter
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Post subject: Re: Wednesday Race 3 Posted: Wed Sep 30, 2009 12:34 pm |
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Joined: Thu May 21, 2009 1:20 pm Posts: 975
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This should have been Race 3, not race 5. I changed the header.
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Jay Trotter
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Post subject: Re: Wednesday Race 3 Posted: Wed Sep 30, 2009 12:37 pm |
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Joined: Thu May 21, 2009 1:20 pm Posts: 975
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Changes after the Changes-
Dream Again has two front aluminum pads again. Auto Toss.
Birdrun - +1 overweight. Kent can't make 116 these days??? The likely selection, but I want at least 3-1.
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oldguy
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Post subject: Re: Wednesday Race 3 Posted: Wed Sep 30, 2009 2:44 pm |
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Joined: Tue May 19, 2009 12:42 pm Posts: 1928 Location: Mechanicville, NY
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Jay Trotter wrote: Changes after the Changes-
Dream Again has two front aluminum pads again. Auto Toss.
Birdrun - +1 overweight. Kent can't make 116 these days??? The likely selection, but I want at least 3-1. Getting 5-1 currently, if that holds, I am gunning to the windows.
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BELMONTLOVER
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Post subject: Re: Wednesday Race 3 Posted: Wed Sep 30, 2009 2:58 pm |
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Joined: Tue May 19, 2009 8:26 pm Posts: 3230
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I don't think Nemo Landing is a bad play at 20-1, fast track today and might get clear here
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oldguy
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Post subject: Re: Wednesday Race 3 Posted: Wed Sep 30, 2009 3:02 pm |
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Joined: Tue May 19, 2009 12:42 pm Posts: 1928 Location: Mechanicville, NY
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7/8 ex bx 7/8/356 tri
win 7
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