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Links: Handicapping | General Racing Discussion | Off Topic | Photo Forum
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Jeebs
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Post subject: Thursday Belmont Race 1 Posted: Thu Jun 16, 2011 11:10 am |
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Joined: Thu May 28, 2009 7:08 pm Posts: 2191
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No gimmies in here. Blues Street (#4) comes off another layoff, and figures to be overbet based on his initial comeback try at GP in January, and his ultra-consistent back form from '09-'10. If he runs back to those races, he'll be tough, but not at 9/5.
Asphalt (#3) is 1st time Chad, and nearly broke through the n3x in February. Didn't disgrace in that G3 either, running out of real estate. Bred to run well longer, and will be coming on again. I give this one a slight edge based on recency over the favorite.
Ignore Alyarf (#6) at your own risk, as he had beaten some good horses across the pond. Ran a big race at GP in April in his 2nd start off the long layoff. He's been working like a machine at Saratoga. May offer value, but again, we'll have to see how the tote plays out.
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Jeebs
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Post subject: Re: Thursday Belmont Race 1 Posted: Thu Jun 16, 2011 2:00 pm |
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Joined: Thu May 28, 2009 7:08 pm Posts: 2191
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Alyarf is a good price at 6-1. Let's go with this:
WP #6 ex 6/3-4 DD 6/5
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